**What to expect** As of Thursday, Mawar has no direct effect to the Philippines yet but rains due to the southwesterly wind flow may persist in the western sections of Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao in the next two days, Estareja said. He pointed out that the direct effect of the weather disturbance will be felt gradually by Saturday. “Mawar may enhance the southwest monsoon (habagat) and trigger monsoon rains over the western portions of Mimaropa, Visayas, and Mindanao on Friday and Saturday, and over the western portions of Luzon and Visayas on Sunday until the middle of next week,” Estareja said. Given Mawar’s large circulation of 780 kilometers, Estareja said the typhoon's rainbands could cause moderate to intense rains in Cagayan Valley from Sunday to Tuesday, May 28 to 30, and that a tropical cyclone wind signal could be issued in the region as early as Saturday. “The forecast confidence cone and the slightly southward shift in the model solutions suggest that the potential for a much closer approach to the country than the ones shown by the center track is not ruled out,” PAGASA said.
Source: Manila Bulletin (https://mb.com.ph/2023/5/24/mawar-re-intensifies-into-super-typhoon)
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