Tropical depression “Vicky” is expected to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility Sunday but a new low-pressure area (LPA) has formed east of Catandunes which may also contribute rains over the country.


In its 11 a.m. severe weather bulletin, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) estimated the location of Vicky at 135 kilometers (kms) east-southeast of Kalayaan, Palawan. It is likely to exit the PAR in the afternoon.

After its exit, PAGASA said Vicky will move southwest as it comes under the full influence of the surge of the northeast monsoon or “amihan.”

It is also seen to intensify into a tropical storm in the next 24 hours.

Due to Vicky, tropical cyclone wind signal No. 1 remains hoisted over Kalayaan Islands.

PAGASA said the LPA was  monitored 140 kms east of Virac, Catanduanes, although it may less likely develop into a tropical depression within 24 hours.

Strong breeze to near gale conditions will be experienced over Kalayaan Islands due to the passage of Vicky. 

Windy conditions may also prevail over a huge portion of Luzon, especially the coastal and mountainous areas, due to the surge of the amihan. 

PAGASA said the combined effects of the tail-end of frontal system, Vicky, and LPA may bring moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over mainland Cagayan Valley, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Aurora, Quezon, Albay, Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Sorsogon, Masbate, and northern portion of Palawan, including Calamian Islands, and Kalayaan Islands. 

Light to moderate with at times heavy rains may also affect Babuyan Islands, Metro Manila, Northern Samar, Abra, Benguet, Bulacan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bataan, Zambales, Nueva Ecija, Laguna, Cavite, Batangas, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, and the rest of Palawan.

By Monday, moderate to heavy rains may persist over Babuyan Islands, mainland Cagayan Valley, Aurora, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, and the northern portion of Quezon, while light to moderate with at times heavy rains may still affect Batanes, Kalayaan Islands, Abra, and Benguet.

PAGASA advised the public to stay vigilant against possible flooding or flash floods and rain-induced landslides especially during heavy or prolonged periods of rainfall particularly in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards, as well as in areas that have already received significant rainfall over the past couple of days or weeks. 

Likewise, adjacent or nearby areas that may not have been directly affected by the rainfall were urged to remain alert due to the possibility of flooding from surface runoff or swelling of river channels. 

In the next 24 hours, the combined effects of the surge of northeast monsoon and tropical depression Vicky will bring rough to high seas up to three to six meters over the entire seaboards of Northern Luzon.

Rough to very rough seas up to two to five meters of waves may affect the seaboard of Zambales, western seaboard of Bataan, seaboard of Lubang Island, western seaboard of Palawan, including Calamian and Kalayaan Islands, seaboard of Aurora, eastern seaboard of Quezon including Polillo Islands, seaboard of Camarines Norte, northern seaboard of Camarines Norte, northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes, eastern seaboard of Albay, including Rapu-Rapu Islands, eastern seaboard of Sorsogon, and northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar. 

PAGASA pointed out that sea travel remains risky over these waters especially for small boats.

Source: Manila Bulletin (